Those of us on the right should have a very honest conversation about the next five months, our elections in America and what to expect. Let’s start with the first item of business: the Stalinistic Star Chamber in NYC just concluded with Trump being found “guilty” on 34 counts, more counts than most mass murderers get. That should be a massive wake-up call for the right: Do you really think that people capable of doing that aren’t also capable of rigging and manipulating elections? Of course they are. You’re dumb if you don’t know that. The indictment was political. The judge’s selection was rigged. Just about every ruling from the bench during the trial was designed to ensure a rigged outcome. The jury’s instructions and rigged deliberations. Given all that, of course the “guilty” verdicts were purely political, with nothing to do with anything except Trump being guilty of being Trump and challenging the status quo.
So I would humbly submit that it’s time for us all to firmly plant ourselves in reality; no more kumbaya, rainbows and unicorns. A lot of people are excited about positive national polls. Please stop. News alert: it’s 2024, not 1984. It’s great to see President Trump leading in the polls—something that didn’t occur in either 2016 or 2020—but I hope this verbal 2×4 upside the head tempers your optimism with realism.
The increasingly freakish left, whose “precious” is political power and who conducted a Stalinistic Star Chamber show trial of the leader of the political opposition, are not going to simply roll over and concede defeat. How do people not comprehend this? The left will not meekly accept Trump’s potential victory. They view him as an existential threat to their status quo, the administrative state, and the ruling class elite. The stakes are too high for them to surrender without doing what they do so well when threatened: scratch, claw and cheat. Most Republicans are Marquis of Queensbury types and are seemingly confused by the back-alley street brawling and win-at-all-cost tactics of the left. Don’t be. In fact, stop whining and grow up. So yeah, knowing all that, if I sound dismissive and cynical about positive poll numbers, guess what? It’s because I am.
The numbers I care about—the ones that really count—are the size of the ballot universe in a battleground state and the size of the partisan registration advantage. Conservatives must accept that they are in an “arms race” in seven presidential battleground states (Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina). And the focus there is absentee ballot (AB) universes, particularly among mid-to-low-propensity voters who identify as Republicans or lean to the right (except Nevada, where you can’t generate ABs as every registered voter is already sent one), and the partisan distribution of registered voters. Anyone on the right not focusing their field or digital efforts on those two numbers is wasting donor money and committing political malpractice.